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Ragozin Data & Publishing Co. LLC Ragozin Data Sheets Bulletin Board
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Tue 30 May 2023 08:46 AM
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General Handicapping Len Friedman says---
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  Individual Horse Numbers Click here to view this message
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    NEW - Individual horse numbers can now be purchased online for the major tracks. Updated every Tuesday night between 11:00 PM and 11:30 PM. COST - $30 per individual horse - includes the entire sheet.
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1Clicking here displays the message topic and associated replies ayaeger
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(98 Msgs in forum)    LastPost: May-30 8:47 AM
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  re;BBT RECORD Click here to view this message
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  The Hollywood Gold Cup at SA R.8 Click here to view this message
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         It's not often that you're given a good opportunity to beat not one but two short-priced Baffert horses, so it's worth making the most of it, even when the state of the Bulletin Board makes this feel a bit like a message in a bottle.

         In reverse order:

    Yes This Time--Glatt is a smart horseman, and he's no doubt aware that this horse's only dirt race was a stinker for Stidham. What he's doing here, I don't know.

    Kiss Today Goodbye--Something went wrong with this horse 17 months ago, and sending him farther than he's ever gone doesn't figure to fix it, even off a decent last race.

    Piroli--Big jump-up two back, and a sizable bounce despite nearly two months to replenish followed. Running back 16 days later doesn't figure to produce much of a recovery.

    Defunded--The 4-5 favorite figures to be loose on the lead, and maybe Hernandez can back things down enough to prevent a late stagger of the sort that got him narrowly beaten in two previous tries at this route, one of them in this race last year. Besides that, he's off a quarter-point top last time, and every single-digit number he's run has been followed by a reaction, even when he had nearly two months off last fall. At the odds, will toss him from the exacta.

    Country Grammer--He's run three excellent races in the Middle East the last two years, so the clunker in his bid for a repeat in the Dubai World Cup was either a bad reaction to the 2-point new top in the Saudi Cup or a sign that at 6 the big number has triggered a long-term decline. Recent works for Bullet Bob suggest he's ready to roll, and he won this race two years ago, but if he can't do better than his usual good American number, think he's vulnerable at 8-5 and probably lower. Will try to beat him but reverse the exacta.

    Senor Buscador--Horse who had some physical issues early in his career came back strong last year off the lengthy layoff, with two one-turn numbers minus lasix that would make him very tough here if he can go this far. He's been on the meds for both starts this year, including last out when he got squeezed early at Oaklawn, but breeding suggests he can stretch and he gets a significant rider switch to Senor Saez. Think Luis will have him closer early this time and could produce a new top. At 5-1, the price is right, and he's the key.

    Good luck to all.   

     

    Posted by cartouche   on May-28 7:18 PM       Modify/DeleteClick here to Delete or Modify this message   

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  The Soaring Softly at Belmont R.7 Click here to view this message
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         Lean pickings for a Saturday, but a curious morning line offers the possibility of getting value going against the favorite, if the bettors cooperate.
         In reverse order:

    Quarrel—Won her only turf start but number wasn’t much, and Ribaudo not much off layoffs.

    Senior Prank—The longer of Chad’s pair had a so-so turf debut behind today’s favorite. Expect improvement, but not enough.

    Love Appeals—She’s that favorite, but the new top last time came on lasix, and her only race without it was mediocre. Even getting Joel, at 6-5 will toss her.

    Queen Picasso—The longer of Clement’s duo is royally bred, and while she’s also off the meds has yet to indicate she’s not the same without them. At 5-1, may get into the exacta.

    American Apple—She’s both the most-experienced and most-accomplished filly here, so have to figure she’s 4-1 because of the low-profile trainer. Because between the big-balloons win in the Matron last fall and a sweet pattern since, if anyone deserves to be a short-priced favorite, she’s the one. Even a small improvement would make her very tough here, and if the odds gap widens between her and my top pick, she’s a defensible key.

    Lady Beth—Shares the fastest number with American Apple, although in her case it came on lasix and over the poly when her turf race was rained off. Has been away for nearly four months, but this is Chad we’re talking about, and she also has good breeding, the rail and Prat in her favor. Would be surprised if 7-2 holds, but at 5-2 still would like her chances enough to key her.

    Good luck to all.
      

    Posted by cartouche   on May-26 2:42 PM       Modify/DeleteClick here to Delete or Modify this message   

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Len Friedman says---      Scroll To Top Top (0 Posts)
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