In reverse order:

Quarrel—Won her only turf start but number wasn’t much, and Ribaudo not much off layoffs.

Senior Prank—The longer of Chad’s pair had a so-so turf debut behind today’s favorite. Expect improvement, but not enough.

Love Appeals—She’s that favorite, but the new top last time came on lasix, and her only race without it was mediocre. Even getting Joel, at 6-5 will toss her.

Queen Picasso—The longer of Clement’s duo is royally bred, and while she’s also off the meds has yet to indicate she’s not the same without them. At 5-1, may get into the exacta.

American Apple—She’s both the most-experienced and most-accomplished filly here, so have to figure she’s 4-1 because of the low-profile trainer. Because between the big-balloons win in the Matron last fall and a sweet pattern since, if anyone deserves to be a short-priced favorite, she’s the one. Even a small improvement would make her very tough here, and if the odds gap widens between her and my top pick, she’s a defensible key.

Lady Beth—Shares the fastest number with American Apple, although in her case it came on lasix and over the poly when her turf race was rained off. Has been away for nearly four months, but this is Chad we’re talking about, and she also has good breeding, the rail and Prat in her favor. Would be surprised if 7-2 holds, but at 5-2 still would like her chances enough to key her.

Good luck to all.